Simple probability question event not occuring.

Headchef

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Dec 13, 2017
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So I'm sure I have been able to do this in the past but over the years of not using this knowledge it has kind of slipped away.

What I wish to calculate is the probabiliy/percentage of an event not occuring.

So for this example ;

I have a dice with 150 sides, 1 is positive the other 149 are negative.

I roll this dice 1500 times.

How do I calculate the odds of me not hitting positive one single time?

I'm sure this is beginner stuff but I tried searching the web but couldn't find it clearly.

So if someone could enlighten me that would be much appreciated, thanks for reading.
 
If you have only one, it's a "die".

Independent Events. Does any roll depend on any other roll?

[p(one failure)]^(1500) -- One must fail EVERY TIME.
 
What I wish to calculate is the probabiliy/percentage of an event not occuring.

I have a dice with 150 sides, 1 is positive the other 149 are negative. I roll this dice 1500 times. How do I calculate the odds of me not hitting positive one single time?

With more dice the way it is usually expressed is to talk about getting at least one occurrence of a thing. Then we say to not get any requires not getting any on each and every roll.

chanceToNotGetAny^numberOfRolls
(149/150)^1500
 
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