Out of 36 random drawings what are the odds of numbers 1-12 each coming up 3 times?

whoisthewomanme

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If you had 12 possible outcomes what are the odds that each outcome would come up exactly 3 times out of 36 drawings?
So I'm going to make a random drawing 36 times and the outcome can be numbers 1-12. What are the odds, that each number would come out exactly 3 times?


(the numbers are not removed after having coming up, they are still included in future drawings)
 
If you had 12 possible outcomes what are the odds that each outcome would come up exactly 3 times out of 36 drawings?
So I'm going to make a random drawing 36 times and the outcome can be numbers 1-12. What are the odds, that each number would come out exactly 3 times?


(the numbers are not removed after having coming up, they are still included in future drawings)

What are your thoughts?

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I'm aware that the probability is:

36! / (3!)^12
____________
12^36


However, I'm not sure how to convert this into a percentage. Obviously, reduce the fraction, and multiply that with 100%.

However, I'm having trouble reducing the fraction since the numbers are so large.
 
i'm aware that the probability is:

36! / (3!)^12
____________
12^36


however, i'm not sure how to convert this into a percentage. Obviously, reduce the fraction, and multiply that with 100%.

However, i'm having trouble reducing the fraction since the numbers are so large.

36! / (3!)^12
____________ ~ 2.41099e-07 = 0.0000241099%
12^36

I would have thought that modern calculators would do this easily. The largest individual expression [36!] is only about 1041


EDIT: Fix dumb mistake - but it was the program, it wasn't me:oops:
 
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I'm aware that the probability is:

36! / (3!)^12
____________
12^36


However, I'm not sure how to convert this into a percentage. Obviously, reduce the fraction, and multiply that with 100%.

However, I'm having trouble reducing the fraction since the numbers are so large.

Since you are interested in % - and there are no subtraction of near equal numbers are not involved - exact numbers do not matter

36! = 3.71993E+41

12^36 = 7.08802E+38

6^12 = 2176782336


Now go at it!!!
 
Thanks everyone. This is pretty clear now.

I came up with 0.00241099 also.

Perhaps Denis' 0.0000241099 is correct though?

I plan on multiplying this event (36 drawings = 1 event) by like 1,000,000 events.

Big difference between the two.

The first is
0.00241099 x 1,000,000 = 2410.99 (converted to percentage it would 24.1099% correct?)

The second number that Denis came up with would be 0.0000241099 x 1,000,000 = 24.1099 (converted to percentage it would be 0.241099% correct?)

Thanks again everyone!
 
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Thanks everyone. I now understand what I was doing incorrectly.
What was the error? (This is why posters are asked to show their work.)

I came up with 0.00241099% also.

Perhaps Denis' 0.0000241099 is correct though?
Um... 0.000 024 is the exact same thing as 0.002 4%. Did they not cover percentages and decimals in your classes?

I'm aware that the probability is:

. . . . .\(\displaystyle \dfrac{\left(\dfrac{36!}{(3!)^{12}}\right)}{12^{36}}\)
Are you "aware" because they gave you that expression here? :shock:
 
What was the error? (This is why posters are asked to show their work.)


Um... 0.000 024 is the exact same thing as 0.002 4%. Did they not cover percentages and decimals in your classes?


Are you "aware" because they gave you that expression here? :shock:


The error was me trying to program it on a Ti-83+. lol

Should have just used Google as the others did.

And I've been out of school for quite a long time. My sister is taking a college course on probability and statistics and she asked me if I could help out with this one.

Yes, I was the one asking at your link. Quickly started remembering a lot of these things from my school days but not everything entirely.
 
100/100 ?

Anyway, that was my "percentage" result: was questioning Ishuda...

36! / 6^12 / 12^36 = .000000241

.000000241 * 100 = .0000241 % : PERCENTUM!!
I think you should look again -that's what I said:oops:
 
This is what I was questioning:
36! / (3!)^12
____________ ~ 2.41099e-05 = 0.00241099%
12^36

But you edited it AFTER...

Anyway, this thread is getting ridiculous...I quit :idea:

Yes and all the edits were there for everyone to see along with the "oops"
 
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