Expected probability: "According to the Almanac of Questionable Statistics, Vol 5..."
According to the Almanac of Questionable Statistics, Vol 5 (2001), the probability of a mass sponge migration in 2020 is 0.17, the probability of a toaster dancing to Jackie Wilson's "(Your Love Has Lifted Me) Higher and Higher" in 2021 is 0.85, but the probability of a toaster dancing to Jackie Wilson's "(Your Love Has Lifted Me) Higher and Higher" in 2021 given that a mass sponge migration already occurred in 2020 is 0.49. What is the probability that a mass sponge migration occurs in 2020 and a toaster dances to Jackie Wilson's "(Your Love Has Lifted Me) Higher and Higher" in 2021?
My instructor said that the answer to this is 0.0833, I was so lost at her explanation, can anymore explain how she got this answer?
According to the Almanac of Questionable Statistics, Vol 5 (2001), the probability of a mass sponge migration in 2020 is 0.17, the probability of a toaster dancing to Jackie Wilson's "(Your Love Has Lifted Me) Higher and Higher" in 2021 is 0.85, but the probability of a toaster dancing to Jackie Wilson's "(Your Love Has Lifted Me) Higher and Higher" in 2021 given that a mass sponge migration already occurred in 2020 is 0.49. What is the probability that a mass sponge migration occurs in 2020 and a toaster dances to Jackie Wilson's "(Your Love Has Lifted Me) Higher and Higher" in 2021?
My instructor said that the answer to this is 0.0833, I was so lost at her explanation, can anymore explain how she got this answer?