Hello,
I’m new to this forum, I hope someone can give some inputs.
I recently played a sweepstakes in which one had to click 3 icons, which would reveal 3 pictures, either Pic1 or Pic2. If the 3 pics matched, one wins.
Of course, this was such that always, no matter which order clicked, the first 2 icons matched, but the third one did not.
Since this is in reality very unlikely (and, I feel, this is actually a malfeasance), I would like to know what the probability of this happening is.
It would seem to me that it is somehow related to conditional probability (or rather, lack thereof), since the outcome of one icon should be independent of any other icon previously unveiled.
The other thought would be, to take the overall outcome together and determine the likelyhood of its outcome, but that would ignore the "it’s always the last one that misses".
Anyone can share any insights?
Thank you.
I’m new to this forum, I hope someone can give some inputs.
I recently played a sweepstakes in which one had to click 3 icons, which would reveal 3 pictures, either Pic1 or Pic2. If the 3 pics matched, one wins.
Of course, this was such that always, no matter which order clicked, the first 2 icons matched, but the third one did not.
Since this is in reality very unlikely (and, I feel, this is actually a malfeasance), I would like to know what the probability of this happening is.
It would seem to me that it is somehow related to conditional probability (or rather, lack thereof), since the outcome of one icon should be independent of any other icon previously unveiled.
The other thought would be, to take the overall outcome together and determine the likelyhood of its outcome, but that would ignore the "it’s always the last one that misses".
Anyone can share any insights?
Thank you.