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Thread: Probability from Stage A to Stage B

  1. #1

    Probability from Stage A to Stage B

    Hi, I have the following data in a five stage system.
    A = 5% chance of going directly to Stage E.
    B = 13% chance of going directly to Stage E.
    C = 45% chance of going directly to Stage E.
    D = 81 % chance of going directly to Stage E.
    E = final stage

    Questions:
    What is the probability stage A will move to stage B?
    What is the probability stage B will move to stage C?

    Ask: Is there a formula I can use to standardize the above questions?

    thank-you

  2. #2
    Elite Member stapel's Avatar
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    Cool

    Quote Originally Posted by thomas1 View Post
    Hi, I have the following data in a five stage system.
    A = 5% chance of going directly to Stage E.
    B = 13% chance of going directly to Stage E.
    C = 45% chance of going directly to Stage E.
    D = 81 % chance of going directly to Stage E.
    E = final stage

    Questions:
    What is the probability stage A will move to stage B?
    What is the probability stage B will move to stage C?

    Ask: Is there a formula I can use to standardize the above questions?
    With only the information provided, I don't think this question is answerable. For instance, what if Stage A never goes to Stage B? Maybe it can only go to Stages C (95% of the time) and E (the other 5% of the time)? What if Stage B only ever goes to D and E? And so forth.

    Have you posted all of the information for this exercise? Thank you!

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