Hi can someone cleverer than me assits with an implied probability query?
If the implied probability if an even lets call it A is 7-1 or14% (1.16 decimal)
I want to work out the implied probablity of this combined sequence
A, NOT A, A, NOT A
Therfore the % prob of A is 14% (100/7)
Therefore the % prob of NOT at is 100 - (100/7) = 86
Therefore the implied prob of " NOT A" as a decimal is = 100/86 = 1.16
is its 7 *.86 * 7 *.86 = 36 -1 ???? Is this right
Thanks everyone
If the implied probability if an even lets call it A is 7-1 or14% (1.16 decimal)
I want to work out the implied probablity of this combined sequence
A, NOT A, A, NOT A
Therfore the % prob of A is 14% (100/7)
Therefore the % prob of NOT at is 100 - (100/7) = 86
Therefore the implied prob of " NOT A" as a decimal is = 100/86 = 1.16
is its 7 *.86 * 7 *.86 = 36 -1 ???? Is this right
Thanks everyone