Im not sure how to go about working this out or explaining it. I actually think a 10% chance of dying is high.

Thank you for your assistance.

Should she have the operation?

Even though we are dealing with uncertainty, we still use probability to make decisions. Here is a real example.

A person is in considerable pain with a non-life threatening condition. She is deciding whether or not to have an operation to fix her problem. She has been told that the chance of her dying as a result of the operation is 10%

- What does the “10%” mean in this context?
- What are the pros and cons of having this operation?
- What factors would you consider if you were in this situation?

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