Simple prob question

ValentinK

New member
Joined
Nov 29, 2014
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Hey all,

I have a very simple Q and would appreciate if you could confirm the right answer with me.

Scenario: I am playing the lottery and have only 1 ticket. There are 4,000,000 people (1 ticket each) who take part in the draw. There are 1,000,000 prizes to give out. 1 ticket can only win you 1 price (so 1,000,000 winners). What are my odds of winning a price (assume the draw will randomly pick 1m people at the same time)?

So basically 1 in every 4 people wins and I think the odds are 1,000,000/4,000,000, i.e. 1/4 (25%). So there is 25% chance that I may get a prize. Is this correct?

Many thanks,

Valentin
 
Hey all,

I have a very simple Q and would appreciate if you could confirm the right answer with me.

Scenario: I am playing the lottery and have only 1 ticket. There are 4,000,000 people (1 ticket each) who take part in the draw. There are 1,000,000 prizes to give out. 1 ticket can only win you 1 price (so 1,000,000 winners). What are my odds of winning a price (assume the draw will randomly pick 1m people at the same time)?

So basically 1 in every 4 people wins and I think the odds are 1,000,000/4,000,000, i.e. 1/4 (25%). So there is 25% chance that I may get a prize. Is this correct?

Many thanks,

Valentin

Odds are different from probability.

What you have calculated is the probability of winning a prize.

Make sure you know the definition of "odds of wining a prize" as opposed to "probability of wining a prize".
 
Sorry, I meant probability (i.e. chance of winning). So am I right in saying that there is 25% chance that I will win? Many thanks!
 
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