Actuarial present value

rad6210

New member
Joined
Sep 13, 2009
Messages
21
An appliance store sells microwave ovens with a 3-year warranty against failure. At the time of purchase, the consumer may buy a 2-year extended warranty that would pay half of the original purchase price at the end of the year of failure. The extended warranty period begins exactly 3 years after the time of purchase, but only if the oven has not failed by then. Any failure is considered permanent. Delta (d) = 4%. Failure of the ovens follows the mortality table below:

Age(x) qx

0 0.008
1 0.015
2 0.026
3 0.042
4 0.063
5 0.089

Calculate the actuarial present value of the extended warranty as a percent of the purchase price.

I know the answer is 0.0405, I just obviously need help figuring out how to get to it. Thanks for any help!
 
It's not real clear to me what to do with your "delta", since δ\displaystyle \delta and 'd' don't mean the same thing. As for the rest.

1) Pr(Dies in first year) = 0.008 and pays 0% at the end of year 1
2) Pr(Dies in second year) = Pr(survives 1 year)*pr(dies in year 2) = (1-0.008)(0.015) = 0.01488 and pays 0% at the end of year 2
3) Pr(Dies in third year) = Pr(survives 2 years)*pr(dies in year 3) = (1-0.008)(1-0.015)(0.026) = 0.025405 and pays 0% at the end of year 3
4) Pr(Dies in fourth year) = Pr(survives 3 years)*pr(dies in year 4) = (1-0.008)(1-0.015)(1-0.026)(0.042) = 0.039972 and pays 50% at the end of year 4
5) Pr(Dies in fifth year) = Pr(survives 4 years)*pr(dies in year 5) = (1-0.008)(1-0.015)(1-0.026)(1-0.042)(0.063) = 0.05744 and pays 50% at the end of year 5

If you meant 'd = 0.04', this translates to 0.040392

If you meant 'δ=0.04\displaystyle \delta = 0.04', this translates to 0.040545

If you REALLY meant i = 0.04, then this translates to 0.04069
 
Top