A Vote With Less Than 77.3% YES Portion Is Mathematically Improper
By
Jamil Kazoun
Sep 23, 2020
Abstract: The traditional voting scale begins at zero for the percentage of voters that vote YES. I prove that this is inappropriate, and that the voting scale should begin at 77.3% point of the number of voters voting YES.
Analysis:
For a vote with two mutually exclusive options, YES and NO, let:
p be sample or population mean in percent of voters voting YES
q be 1 - p
Let YES = p
NO = q
Let H = Entropy = - (p*log(p) + (1 – p)*log (1 – p)) ; log is base 2
If p is assumed as the probability of correctness, and (1 - p) as the probability of incorrectness, then, subtracting entropy from p should give the net certainty of the correctness of the vote:
Y = p – H = net certainty of the correctness of the vote
If we set this net certainty to 0 as the minimum acceptable level for a vote, then:
0 = p – H
0 = p - - (p*log(p) + (1 – p)*log (1 – p))
Solving this for p, I get
P = .773 = 77.3%
Therefore, a vote with 77.3% YES portion has zero certainty. This therefore is the starting point of the voting scale.
Conclusion: No vote bellow 77.3% should be acceptable mathematically.
Side note: Looking at a completely different derivation approach in my previous publications, I get similar results.
By
Jamil Kazoun
Sep 23, 2020
Abstract: The traditional voting scale begins at zero for the percentage of voters that vote YES. I prove that this is inappropriate, and that the voting scale should begin at 77.3% point of the number of voters voting YES.
Analysis:
For a vote with two mutually exclusive options, YES and NO, let:
p be sample or population mean in percent of voters voting YES
q be 1 - p
Let YES = p
NO = q
Let H = Entropy = - (p*log(p) + (1 – p)*log (1 – p)) ; log is base 2
If p is assumed as the probability of correctness, and (1 - p) as the probability of incorrectness, then, subtracting entropy from p should give the net certainty of the correctness of the vote:
Y = p – H = net certainty of the correctness of the vote
If we set this net certainty to 0 as the minimum acceptable level for a vote, then:
0 = p – H
0 = p - - (p*log(p) + (1 – p)*log (1 – p))
Solving this for p, I get
P = .773 = 77.3%
Therefore, a vote with 77.3% YES portion has zero certainty. This therefore is the starting point of the voting scale.
Conclusion: No vote bellow 77.3% should be acceptable mathematically.
Side note: Looking at a completely different derivation approach in my previous publications, I get similar results.
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