Trouble with probability! HELP ME PLEASE!!!

twobeatsoff

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Jan 31, 2012
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There is a .97 chance that no accident will occur during any particular day at a racetrack of local importance. the probability of one accident a day is .02, and the probability of two accidents is .01.

a. What is the expected number of accidents in a day?
b. What is the expected number of accidents in ten days?

I just don't understand how to set these questions up and any help would be much appreciated.
 
There is a .97 chance that no accident will occur during any particular day at a racetrack of local importance. the probability of one accident a day is .02, and the probability of two accidents is .01.
a. What is the expected number of accidents in a day?
b. What is the expected number of accidents in ten days?
E(X)=0P(X=0)+1P(X=1)+2P(X=2).\displaystyle E(X)=0\cdot\mathcal{P}(X=0)+1\cdot\mathcal{P}(X=1)+2\cdot\mathcal{P}(X=2).
 
E(X)=0P(X=0)+1P(X=1)+2P(X=2).\displaystyle E(X)=0\cdot\mathcal{P}(X=0)+1\cdot\mathcal{P}(X=1)+2\cdot\mathcal{P}(X=2).

Thank you, and I am sorry if this is asking too much, but I'm not exactly sure of what the variables your letters are supposed to represent. If you could give me a mini lesson, I would much appreciate it.
 
Thank you, and I am sorry if this is asking too much, but I'm not exactly sure of what the variables your letters are supposed to represent. If you could give me a mini lesson, I would much appreciate it.
Expected value is the sum of the outcomes times the probability of that outcome. You have three outcomes: 0, 1, & 2\displaystyle 0,~1,~\&~2.
Look again at my reply to see how that works.
 
Expected value is the sum of the outcomes times the probability of that outcome. You have three outcomes: 0, 1, & 2\displaystyle 0,~1,~\&~2.
Look again at my reply to see how that works.

Ah! I understand perfectly now! From here, can you give me any clue as to how to set up the equation to give me the variance for part (a)?
 
Ah! I understand perfectly now! From here, can you give me any clue as to how to set up the equation to give me the variance for part (a)?
V(X)=E(X2)[E(X)]2\displaystyle V(X)=E(X^2)-[E(X)]^2

For E(X2)\displaystyle E(X^2) multiply the square of the outcome by its probability. So in this case you have to make only one change in E(X)\displaystyle E(X) to get E(X2)\displaystyle E(X^2).
 
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