Dice Problem Confusion

thunc14

Junior Member
Joined
Nov 15, 2017
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65
A six-sided number cube is weighted so that the probabilities of throwing 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6 are equal, and the probability of throwing a 1 is twice the probability of throwing a 2. If the number cube is thrown twice, what is the probability that the sum of the numbers thrown will be 4?

I understand why the individual probabilities are 2/7 for 1, and 1/7 for 2 through 6, and I understand that the combinations are (1, 3), (3, 1) and (2, 2). My questions is why is (2, 2) only counted once? If (1, 3) and the reverse (3, 1) are considered, why is (2, 2) not considered twice, since the first and second dice could be (2, 2) and they could also switch? I'm guessing my misunderstanding is on a fundamental level, but I thought the answer would have been 6/49, but the correct answer is 5/49.

Thanks in advance.
 
Maybe it would help you to make a 6x6 grid showing one die along the top and the other along the left side. Fill in all 36 squares with their probabilities and add up the ones whose sum is 4. There aren't two (2,2) squares.
 
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