Guess who odds

Jmarshdale

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Dec 19, 2019
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What are the odds of guessing the correct person in guess who when you have 5 options left, and you have 3 attempts (eliminating one for each wrong guess) ?
 
What are the odds of guessing the correct person in guess who when you have 5 options left, and you have 3 attempts (eliminating one for each wrong guess) ?
What are your thoughts?

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One way to think about this is to suppose you plan your 3 guesses ahead of time. How many of the possibilities will lead to success? Will this give the same probability as the actual game, where you make one guess at a time?
 
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