Predictions

[cheesymouse]

Hi guys, I don't know if this problem can be calculated, but if it does I'll appreciate the help.

So it goes like this

I have 10,000 cards
I have 17 rare cards in the deck

Every time I take a card out it's not going back to the deck, btw it's totally random, I don't see the cards, only after I pull them out from the deck.

I already took out 4604 cards from the deck

Card 3916 was the first rare card
Card 4374 was the second rare card

15 rare cards left in the deck (5396 cards left in total because I already removed 4604 cards.)

What will be the card number of the next rare card?

 

[Deleted member 4993]

Hi guys, I don't know if this problem can be calculated, but if it does I'll appreciate the help.

So it goes like this

I have 10,000 cards
I have 17 rare cards in the deck

Every time I take a card out it's not going back to the deck, btw it's totally random, I don't see the cards, only after I pull them out from the deck.

I already took out 4604 cards from the deck

Card 3916 was the first rare card
Card 4374 was the second rare card

15 rare cards left in the deck (5396 cards left in total because I already removed 4604 cards.)

What will be the card number of the next rare card?

how do you define a "rare" card?

 

[cheesymouse]

how do you define a "rare" card?

My bad, a rare card is a card the appears only once in the entire deck, so there are only 17 of them, which 2 were already pulled out as I stated

 

[cheesymouse]

how do you define a "rare" card?

Also, don't look at it as a deck of numbered cards, it's more of a figures cards represented by number from 1-10000

 

[JeffM]

If it is totally random, it is unpredictable by definition.