Hi, I'm struggling to get my brain around this which isn't a surprise if I'm honest. I have tried reading up on probability but cannot seem to win so I was hoping someone here could maybe help please?
I was ill for 5 years and housebound. Other than going to the hospital the only time I left the house was when my brother was going to collect some stuff he had bought on the internet. I'm better now and I started talking to a girl that I met on a dating site who is Polish but lives in my city now. I've been getting told by a tutor for ages that I should visit a particular city in Poland for ages and when I told her this it transpires that it's where she comes from. After getting to know each other a little better I recounted to her the story of me being unwell and going with my brother to pick up those chairs the one time I actually left the house and when I told her where it was it was the street she lived in at the time. We have a joke that it must have been fate that brought us together, but I think it would be interesting to know the odds of us actually meeting sharing these 3 coincidences. There's roughly 7000 streets in my city so that's 1 in 7000 chance in it being her street, there's 1,200,000 people in the city so that's a 1 in 1.2m chance of meeting her and there's 8853 villages, towns and cities in Poland so that's a 1 in 8853 (at a stretch) chance of me saying where she was from. What are the odds of us meeting given those variables?
I was ill for 5 years and housebound. Other than going to the hospital the only time I left the house was when my brother was going to collect some stuff he had bought on the internet. I'm better now and I started talking to a girl that I met on a dating site who is Polish but lives in my city now. I've been getting told by a tutor for ages that I should visit a particular city in Poland for ages and when I told her this it transpires that it's where she comes from. After getting to know each other a little better I recounted to her the story of me being unwell and going with my brother to pick up those chairs the one time I actually left the house and when I told her where it was it was the street she lived in at the time. We have a joke that it must have been fate that brought us together, but I think it would be interesting to know the odds of us actually meeting sharing these 3 coincidences. There's roughly 7000 streets in my city so that's 1 in 7000 chance in it being her street, there's 1,200,000 people in the city so that's a 1 in 1.2m chance of meeting her and there's 8853 villages, towns and cities in Poland so that's a 1 in 8853 (at a stretch) chance of me saying where she was from. What are the odds of us meeting given those variables?