Struggling w/ Econometric probs: We have the following AR(2) model : Yt = B0 + B1Yt-1+B2Yt-2 + Ɛt Ɛt ~ iid (0,σ2)

Alex_Of_Darkness

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Nov 16, 2017
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Hi everyone,

I have some difficulties with two problems. It's really important that I understand them for my exam later this month so I would be more than grateful if someone can help me resolve them.

Problem #1 :
Xt is a second-order time series with auto-covariance γj and j ≥ 0. Is Yt = Xt + X0 stationary at the second-order?
We also know that X0 represents the value of Xt when t=0. So X0 is a random variable.

Problem #2 :
We have the following AR(2) model :
Yt = B0 + B1Yt-1+B2Yt-2 + Ɛt
Ɛt ~ iid (0,σ2)

a) Show that Ɛt is independent of Yt-1 and Yt-2. What is the consequence for the OLS estimation of the model?
b) Calculate the expected value of Yt.
c) While using the following notation :
γj = cov(Yt,Yt-j) for j = 0,1,2... Show that :
γ0= B1γ1+B2γ22,
γ1= B1γ0+B2γ1,
γ0= B1γ1+B2γ0.
d) Give the variance of Yt in term of B1, B2 and σ2.

What I know for Problem #1 :
I know that Yt stationary at the second-order if its expected value = u does not depend on t and that cov(Yt,Yt-j)=γ0 does not depend on t neither. I'm just not sure how can I demonstrate what is asked in the question.

What I know for Problem #2 :
a) I really don't know what to use to test the independence...
b) c) d) I assume I'll need the result in a)? I'm just completely lost with problem #2 to be completely honest with all of you.

Thanks a lot for taking time to help me if you can. You would save my life.
 
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