Say I have the following statistical data:
In a given area, in 9 out of 10 cases of homicides, the victim is a male.
I'm having a heated argument with a friend about expressing this statistical data in terms of probabilities.
He says: "There's a 90% chance for a man to become the victim in a homicide case, in that area"
And I say that the right way to say this is: "Given a homicide has been committed in that area, there's a 90% chance the victim is a male"
I don't want to anticipate mine or his arguments to defend either of these phrases, but which way to express this statistical data in terms of probability is correct?
Thank you
In a given area, in 9 out of 10 cases of homicides, the victim is a male.
I'm having a heated argument with a friend about expressing this statistical data in terms of probabilities.
He says: "There's a 90% chance for a man to become the victim in a homicide case, in that area"
And I say that the right way to say this is: "Given a homicide has been committed in that area, there's a 90% chance the victim is a male"
I don't want to anticipate mine or his arguments to defend either of these phrases, but which way to express this statistical data in terms of probability is correct?
Thank you